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New Caledonia U20 W vs Samoa U20 W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U20 Women 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U20 Women 2012 game between New Caledonia U20 W and Samoa U20 W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Caledonia U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
Samoa U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Samoa U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia U20 W come out ahead of Samoa U20 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Samoa U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U20 Women 2012 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 93%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
New Caledonia U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Samoa U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U20 W Samoa U20 W
Matches Played 7 7
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 7.57 5.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.57 5.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2015 OFC Championship U19 Women
New Caledonia U20 W vs Samoa U20 W
2:6
Apr 10, 2012 OFC Championship U19 Women
New Caledonia U20 W vs Samoa U20 W
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U20 W 10 / 100
Samoa U20 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U20 W Samoa U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa U20 W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

New Caledonia U20 W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Recent resilience: New Caledonia U20 W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U20 W VS Samoa U20 W
1.86 Goals Scored 2
7.57 Goals Conceded 5.14
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 86%
100% Over 3.5 86%