Sport Picks
New Caledonia vs Tahiti
World
World Championship 2026 Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with New Caledonia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tahiti carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives New Caledonia a 80% chance of winning this.
- Tahiti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor New Caledonia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia | Tahiti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.86 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Caledonia Compare
Tahiti Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
New Caledonia scored in 78% of their last 23 games.
Tahiti let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: New Caledonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
