Sport Picks
New Caledonia vs Vanuatu
World
Friendly International 2024 
AI Match Summary
New Caledonia host Vanuatu in the Friendly International 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vanuatu have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while New Caledonia have conceded 1.26 and scored 2.26. Past meetings favor New Caledonia slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 9, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.25) back New Caledonia to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and New Caledonia come out ahead of Vanuatu on wins alone.
- Win probability leans New Caledonia's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia | Vanuatu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanuatu has conceded goals in 92% of their last 26 outings.
Attacking prowess: New Caledonia scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.
Recent resilience: New Caledonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
