Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Caledonia W vs Solomon Islands W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gogoni A.
73' Event
Neporo J.
80' Event
Neporo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
New Caledonia W
22%
Draws
18%
Solomon Islands W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: New Caledonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Solomon Islands W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • New Caledonia W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Solomon Islands W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Solomon Islands W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia W Solomon Islands W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.57 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.57 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Solomon Islands W
2:2
Jul 6, 2015 Pacific Games Women
Solomon Islands W vs New Caledonia W
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Neporo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Solomon Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogoni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maefiti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia W 56 / 100
Solomon Islands W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia W Solomon Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Solomon Islands W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

New Caledonia W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Solomon Islands W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia W VS Solomon Islands W
0.57 Goals Scored 2.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia W

(Home)
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2
New Caledonia W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0
New Caledonia W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
02 Mar
New Caledonia W
2 : 1
Vanuatu W
27 Feb
Fiji W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
Page 1 of 6

Solomon Islands W

(Away)
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0
Solomon Islands W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1
American Samoa W
22 Nov
Solomon Islands W
2 : 4
Vanuatu W
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0
Solomon Islands W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samoa W22003:06
2Cook Islands W20111:21
3Tonga W20111:31
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Papua New Guinea W22005:26
2Tahiti W20111:21
3Vanuatu W20111:31
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiji W21104:24
2Solomon Islands W20203:32
3New Caledonia W20113:51
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams