Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New England Revolution II vs Chicago Fire II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
New England Revolution II Logo

New England Revolution II

0 - 1
FT
Chicago Fire II Logo

Chicago Fire II

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Butts L.
45'
Klein E.
61'
Williams S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Chicago Fire II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
New England Revolution II
40%
Draws
29%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • New England Revolution II have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chicago Fire II, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 13%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution II Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Chicago Fire II
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Chicago Fire II
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Chicago Fire II
2:3
Jul 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs New England Revolution II
3:4
Jun 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs New England Revolution II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Poreba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution II 31 / 100
Chicago Fire II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution II Chicago Fire II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution II scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Chicago Fire II conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Chicago Fire II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution II VS Chicago Fire II
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution II

(Home)
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
15 Jul
New England Revolution II
2 : 3
Columbus Crew 2
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New England Revolution II
1 : 2
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire II

(Away)
18 Jul
Crown Legacy
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0
New York Red Bulls II
06 Jul
Huntsville City
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
27 Jun
Chattanooga
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
21 Jun
New England Revolution II
1 : 2
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Carolina Core1
New England Revolution II0
Chicago Fire II1
Philadelphia Union II2
FC Cincinnati 21
Chattanooga0
Huntsville City2
San Jose Earthquakes II3
North Texas0
Colorado Rapids 23
Vancouver Whitecaps 22
St. Louis City 23
Ventura County0
Real Monarchs1
Minnesota United 22
Quarter-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Chicago Fire II3
Philadelphia Union II1
Huntsville City0
San Jose Earthquakes II2
Colorado Rapids 24
St. Louis City 20
Minnesota United 22
Semi-finals
New York Red Bulls II2
Philadelphia Union II1
Colorado Rapids 22
Minnesota United 21
Final
New York Red Bulls II4
Colorado Rapids 23