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New England Revolution II vs CT United FC

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Gillette Stadium
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AI Match Summary

New England Revolution II play CT United FC in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, New England Revolution II averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. CT United FC averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, New England Revolution II won 1, CT United FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for New England Revolution II and 1.56 for CT United FC. This points to a New England Revolution II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
New England Revolution II
15%
Draws
36%
CT United FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • New England Revolution II picked up more points recently compared to CT United FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 15%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution II CT United FC
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 19 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs New England Revolution II
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs CT United FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Da J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fry M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CT United FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution II 47 / 100
CT United FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution II CT United FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New England Revolution II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New England Revolution II attacking → ← attacking CT United FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution II scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

CT United FC let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

New England Revolution II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CT United FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 24
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
4Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County18100832:2729
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
7Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
8Minnesota United 21890925:2926
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359