Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Gillette Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Smith J.
45' Event
Mitchell R.
Assist: Szewczyk T.
46'
Sub
Siqueira J. In: Sasaki S.
Out: Siqueira J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between New England Revolution II and New York Red Bulls II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
New England Revolution II
11%
Draws
80%
New York Red Bulls II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls II's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what New England Revolution II have produced (1.63).
  • New York Red Bulls II are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution II New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II
4:2
May 18, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zambrano C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution II 10 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution II New York Red Bulls II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution II scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

New York Red Bulls II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Away concern: New York Red Bulls II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution II VS New York Red Bulls II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5CT United FC18100833:3228
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
2Austin FC II17130436:1640
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Chattanooga19120735:3034
5New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8New York City II1690727:2328
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
2Austin FC II17130436:1640
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 219100928:3129
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10North Texas1780927:2125
11Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712