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New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
New England Revolution II Logo

New England Revolution II

3 - 4
FT
Philadelphia Union II Logo

Philadelphia Union II

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Hughes K. In: Katsell L.
Out: Hughes K.
9' Event
Griffin J.
11'
Zambrano C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between New England Revolution II and Philadelphia Union II finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
New England Revolution II
15%
Draws
51%
Philadelphia Union II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution II Philadelphia Union II
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 17 16
Draws 0 1
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II
3:4
Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II
0:4
May 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II
1:3
Jun 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer LeBlanc K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Griffin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution II 34 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution II Philadelphia Union II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution II found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Philadelphia Union II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution II VS Philadelphia Union II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution II

(Home)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
30 Aug
New England Revolution II
1 : 4
Huntsville City
22 Aug
New York City II
2 : 1
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

Philadelphia Union II

(Away)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)