Sport Picks
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC
USA
MLS Gillette Stadium 
AI Match Summary
New England Revolution host Toronto FC in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Toronto FC have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while New England Revolution have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor New England Revolution slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring New England Revolution. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- New England Revolution carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans New England Revolution's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New England Revolution | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New England Revolution scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Toronto FC conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
New England Revolution has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | 14 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |