Sport Picks
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United
USA
MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA 
Match Events
5'
5'
Gil C.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Yeboah K.
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Langoni L.
Assist: Turgeman D.
AI Match Summary
New England Revolution in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New England Revolution.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to New England Revolution lately — more wins on the board than Minnesota United.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 19%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New England Revolution | Minnesota United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United
2:1
Sep 10, 2023 MLS
Minnesota United vs New England Revolution
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 MLS
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United
2:1
Sep 20, 2020 MLS
Minnesota United vs New England Revolution
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New England Revolution Compare
Top Goalscorer Langoni L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Minnesota United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New England Revolution 31 / 100
Minnesota United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New England Revolution Minnesota United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New England Revolution's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Minnesota United has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New England Revolution VS Minnesota United
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
New England Revolution
(Home) 22 Jul
New England Revolution
0 : 0 Toronto FC
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0 New England Revolution
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3 Nashville SC
09 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
New England Revolution
0 : 0 Toronto FC
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3 Nashville SC
09 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Philadelphia Union
02 May
New England Revolution
1 : 0 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 4
Minnesota United
(Away) 23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
14 May
Minnesota United
0 : 1 Colorado Rapids
10 May
Minnesota United
2 : 2 Austin FC
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
02 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 3 Minnesota United
29 Apr
San Jose Earthquakes
4 : 2 Minnesota United
23 Apr
FC Dallas
0 : 1 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)