Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New England Revolution vs Nashville SC

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution play Nashville SC in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, New England Revolution averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Nashville SC averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, New England Revolution won 1, Nashville SC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for New England Revolution and 1.63 for Nashville SC. This points to a Nashville SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
New England Revolution
28%
Draws
50%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nashville SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to New England Revolution.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Nashville SC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 14%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Nashville SC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs New England Revolution
4:1
Jun 25, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs New England Revolution
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Madrigal W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 23 / 100
Nashville SC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Nashville SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Nashville SC let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

New England Revolution went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nashville SC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Nashville SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307