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New England Revolution vs New York City Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

1 - 1
FT
New York City Logo

New York City

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Gil C.
Penalty Missed
36' Event
Turgeman D.
Assist: Miller P.
40'
Sub
Shore J. In: Parks K.
Out: Shore J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between New England Revolution and New York City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New England Revolution
20%
Draws
29%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • New England Revolution carry the better recent record into this one.
  • New England Revolution are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 20%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution New York City
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
New York City vs New England Revolution
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs New York City
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs New York City
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 MLS
New York City vs New England Revolution
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Leagues Cup
New England Revolution vs New York City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Turgeman D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sands J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 42 / 100
New York City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: New York City conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

New England Revolution has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS New York City
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

New York City

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)