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New England Revolution vs Sarasota Paradise

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Beason T.
35' Event
Campana L.
39' Event
Yueill J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between New England Revolution and Sarasota Paradise finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New England Revolution
6%
Draws
4%
Sarasota Paradise
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarasota Paradise haven't matched New England Revolution's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New England Revolution's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 20%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Sarasota Paradise
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs Sarasota Paradise
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Beason T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campana L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sarasota Paradise Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 85 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Sarasota Paradise

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Sarasota Paradise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

New England Revolution went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Sarasota Paradise
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%