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New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dotson H.
19'
Roldan C.
24'
Sands W.

AI Match Summary

Seattle Sounders in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seattle Sounders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New England Revolution
20%
Draws
44%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Seattle Sounders haven't matched New England Revolution's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Seattle Sounders a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 15%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs New England Revolution
2:0
Apr 8, 2020 MLS
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders
0:0
Aug 10, 2019 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs New England Revolution
3:3
Jul 7, 2018 MLS
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs New England Revolution
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Dotson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 27 / 100
Seattle Sounders 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Seattle Sounders conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Seattle Sounders
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)