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New Mexico vs Cruizers FC

USA USA

US Open Cup Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Mexico play Cruizers FC in the US Open Cup. New Mexico are favorites here. Recently, New Mexico averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Cruizers FC averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, New Mexico won 1, Cruizers FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 19, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for New Mexico and 1.94 for Cruizers FC. This points to a New Mexico double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
New Mexico
25%
Draws
15%
Cruizers FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: New Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • New Mexico picked up more points recently compared to Cruizers FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 10%
Cruizers FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Mexico Cruizers FC
Matches Played 28 1
Wins 13 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1.54 2
Goals Conceded 1.68 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 US Open Cup
New Mexico vs Cruizers FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilchrist G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nava C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cruizers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbumba A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Mexico 56 / 100
Cruizers FC 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Mexico Cruizers FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick New Mexico & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New Mexico attacking → ← attacking Cruizers FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Mexico scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Cruizers FC let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

New Mexico went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cruizers FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00