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New Project vs Balvu SC

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1. Liga 2019
New Project Logo

New Project

2 - 1
FT
Balvu SC Logo

Balvu SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between New Project and Balvu SC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Project.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
New Project
15%
Draws
0%
Balvu SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Project

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Project come out ahead of Balvu SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives New Project a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Project have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
New Project Clean Sheet 12%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Project Balvu SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 21 28
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.2 5.4
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs New Project
1:2
Aug 4, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Balvu SC
2:1
May 4, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs New Project
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Project 83 / 100
Balvu SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Project Balvu SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Project Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balvu SC let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Balvu SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

New Project found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

New Project VS Balvu SC
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 7.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

New Project

(Home)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

Balvu SC

(Away)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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