Sport Picks

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New Project vs Grobina

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1. Liga 2019
New Project Logo

New Project

8 - 1
FT
Grobina Logo

Grobina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between New Project and Grobina finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Project.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
New Project
20%
Draws
50%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Project come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • New Project are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Project have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
New Project Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Project Grobina
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 5
Draws 2 11
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Grobina
8:1
Jul 27, 2019 1. Liga
Grobina vs New Project
3:1
Apr 27, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Grobina
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Project 49 / 100
Grobina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Project Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Project Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobina has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.33 goals per match.

New Project found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: New Project stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New Project

(Home)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
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Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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