Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Project vs Super Nova

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019
New Project Logo

New Project

1 - 2
FT
Super Nova Logo

Super Nova

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Prokopov I.
45' Event
Troickis A.
79' Event
Troickis A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Super Nova advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
New Project
15%
Draws
59%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Super Nova come out ahead of New Project on wins alone.
  • New Project are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Super Nova arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Super Nova, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Super Nova have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
New Project Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Project Super Nova
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs New Project
7:0
Jun 30, 2019 Latvian Cup
New Project vs Super Nova
1:2
Jun 8, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Super Nova
0:0
Apr 6, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs New Project
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Project Compare

Top Goalscorer Prokopov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Troickis A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Project 42 / 100
Super Nova 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Project Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova has conceded goals in 63% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

New Project scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

New Project went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Super Nova
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Project

(Home)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
RFS -
TBD -
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Valmiera -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
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Ghetto / Gvatar -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Keiko Jekabpils -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors 1
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
Kalupe 2
AFA Olaine 1
TBD -
New Project -
TBD -
TBD -
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Riga FC -
FK Karosta 3
Riga United 1
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
Lubana -
TBD -
TBD -
Tente -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
Aliance 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
Monarhs 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 7
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
Jurmalas 1
Jauniba / Upesciems 2
Marupe -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
Caramba 8
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
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Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
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Jelgava -
1/32-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 3
Ghetto / Gvatar 0
Nikers 1
Livani 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 5
FK Auda Riga 1
Keiko Jekabpils 2
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 4
Rezekne 3
Kalupe 0
New Project 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 8
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Lubana 2
Tente 6
FK Alberts 2
Lielupe 1
Aliance 1
LDZ Cargo/DFA 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Dinamo Riga 1
Albatroz 1
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 3
Jauniba / Upesciems 0
Marupe 3
Caramba 5
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/16-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 7
Livani 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 9
Krimulda 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 2
New Project 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 1
Tente 0
FK Alberts 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 6
Alberts JDFS 4
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/8-finals
RFS 2
Valmiera 1
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 4
Tukums 2000 4
Ventspils 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 6
FK Karosta 4
LDZ Cargo/DFA 1
Alberts JDFS 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0
FK Metta 0
Jelgava 1
Quarter-finals
RFS 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 0
Riga FC 4
FK Karosta 2
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 2
Semi-finals
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
FK Karosta 0
Jelgava 5
Final
RFS 3
Jelgava 2