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New Project vs Super Nova

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between New Project and Super Nova finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
New Project
15%
Draws
59%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • New Project haven't matched Super Nova's recent run of results.
  • Model gives New Project a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Super Nova have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
New Project Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Project Super Nova
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs New Project
7:0
Jun 30, 2019 Latvian Cup
New Project vs Super Nova
1:2
Jun 8, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Super Nova
0:0
Apr 6, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs New Project
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Project 42 / 100
Super Nova 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Project Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova has conceded goals in 63% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

New Project's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

New Project has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Super Nova
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Project

(Home)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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