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New Soger vs Tshikas Prediction & H2H Stats

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between New Soger and Tshikas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
New Soger
30%
Draws
23%
Tshikas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New Soger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • New Soger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
New Soger Clean Sheet 20%
Tshikas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Soger Tshikas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Tshikas
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Tshikas vs New Soger
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Soger 32 / 100
Tshikas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Soger Tshikas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tshikas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Tshikas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

New Soger scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

New Soger VS Tshikas
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Soger

(Home)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Tshikas

(Away)
05 Apr
Mazembe
2 : 0
Tshikas
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
Tshikas
2 : 3
Don Bosco
19 Mar
Tshikas
1 : 1
Manika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)