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New York City II vs New England Revolution II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Belson Stadium, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Flax C.
Assist: Carrizo M.
20' Event
Morgan M.
Assist: Jean Baptiste M.
48'
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between New York City II and New England Revolution II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New York City II
15%
Draws
34%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives New York City II a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • New England Revolution II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City II New England Revolution II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs New England Revolution II
2:1
Jul 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York City II
3:0
May 10, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York City II
3:2
Sep 18, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs New England Revolution II
1:3
May 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs New England Revolution II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Flax C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City II 38 / 100
New England Revolution II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City II New England Revolution II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City II scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: New England Revolution II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

New York City II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City II VS New England Revolution II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City II

(Home)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
01 Sept
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
New York City II
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution II

(Away)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
30 Aug
New England Revolution II
1 : 4
Huntsville City
22 Aug
New York City II
2 : 1
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)