Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York City vs Austin FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mercau N.
45' Event
Ojeda A.

AI Match Summary

New York City in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New York City
33%
Draws
27%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • New York City have won more games recently than Austin FC.
  • Model gives New York City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Austin FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
New York City Clean Sheet 19%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City Austin FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
New York City vs Austin FC
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs New York City
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs New York City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercau N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojeda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Austin FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 40 / 100
Austin FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

New York City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Austin FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: New York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS Austin FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City

(Home)
25 Jul
New York City
3 : 1
Chicago Fire
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
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Austin FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Austin FC
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1
Seattle Sounders
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0
Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1
Queretaro
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0
Austin FC
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