Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York City vs Columbus Crew

USA USA

MLS Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Wolf H.
Assist: Ojeda A.
16' Event
Wolf H.
Assist: Mercau N.
63'
Habroune T.

AI Match Summary

New York City in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
New York City
40%
Draws
29%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • New York City have won more games recently than Columbus Crew.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New York City Clean Sheet 16%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City Columbus Crew
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New York City
1:2
May 20, 2026 US Open Cup
Columbus Crew vs New York City
1:0
May 10, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Columbus Crew
3:0
Sep 17, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Columbus Crew
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New York City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolf H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Columbus Crew Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 31 / 100
Columbus Crew 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City Columbus Crew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New York City scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Columbus Crew's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: New York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS Columbus Crew
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City

(Home)
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew

(Away)
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
12 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 1
Burnley
24 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 0
Atlanta United
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
Philadelphia Union
1 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
6New York City1664627:2222
7Charlotte FC1664626:2522
8New York Red Bulls1664626:3522
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)