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New York City vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
New York City Logo

New York City

1 - 2
FT
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gil C.
(Penalty)
18'
Yusuf A.
19'
Sub
Yusuf A. In: Yueill J.
Out: Yusuf A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
New York City
15%
Draws
59%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • New England Revolution have won more games recently than New York City.
  • Model gives New York City a 26% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
New York City Clean Sheet 15%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City New England Revolution
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
New York City vs New England Revolution
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs New York City
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs New York City
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 MLS
New York City vs New England Revolution
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Leagues Cup
New England Revolution vs New York City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Luighi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazdag D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 48 / 100
New England Revolution 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

New York City's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: New York City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS New England Revolution
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City

(Home)
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
New York City
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)