Sport Picks

USA

MLS Yankee Stadium

Orlando City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York City play Orlando City in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, New York City averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Orlando City averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, New York City won 4, Orlando City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for New York City and 1.88 for Orlando City. This points to a New York City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

New York City

20%

Draws

32%

Orlando City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

New York City picked up more points recently compared to Orlando City.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New York City	Orlando City
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.53	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.4	2.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 MLS

New York City vs Orlando City

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

5:0

Jul 17, 2025 MLS

Orlando City vs New York City

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Mar 9, 2025 MLS

New York City vs Orlando City

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Jul 20, 2024 MLS

Orlando City vs New York City

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Jun 28, 2024 MLS

New York City vs Orlando City

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Parks K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ojeda A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Orlando City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 45 / 100

Orlando City 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New York City Orlando City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New York City or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New York City attacking → ← attacking Orlando City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Orlando City let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

New York City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Orlando City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 33

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	10	2	2	34:12	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	10	2	3	34:15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	8	2	4	26:19	26
4	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30:22	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	7	3	5	24:17	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	7	3	3	17:11	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	7	1	6	19:23	22
8	Minnesota United	15	6	4	5	18:22	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	5	5	5	22:22	20
10	San Diego FC	15	4	5	6	30:27	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	5	1	9	25:24	16
12	St. Louis City	14	4	4	6	16:20	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22:28	14
14	Austin FC	15	3	5	7	19:31	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14:36	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	10	3	1	31:11	33
2	Inter Miami	15	9	4	2	39:28	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27:16	26
4	New England Revolution	14	8	1	5	22:18	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	6	4	5	25:32	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	6	3	6	24:23	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	5	5	5	36:37	20
8	New York City	15	5	4	6	25:21	19
9	DC United	15	4	6	5	21:25	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21:23	16
11	CF Montreal	14	4	2	8	22:31	14
12	Orlando City	15	4	2	9	23:44	14
13	Toronto FC	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
14	Atlanta United	14	3	2	9	14:23	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	1	4	10	18:30	7