Sport Picks
New York City vs Santos Laguna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Traore B. In: Luighi
Out: Traore B.
46'
46'
Sub
O'Toole K. In: Mercau N.
Out: O'Toole K.
46'
46'
Sub
Jones M. In: Wolf H.
Out: Jones M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos Laguna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santos Laguna come out ahead of New York City on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Santos Laguna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor New York City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
New York City Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York City | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Leagues Cup
New York City vs Santos Laguna
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Gray T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cavallo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Santos Laguna Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York City 32 / 100
Santos Laguna 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York City Santos Laguna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santos Laguna let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: New York City scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: New York City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New York City VS Santos Laguna
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
New York City
(Home) 10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 New York City
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2 New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2 New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2 New England Revolution
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
16 Aug
New York City
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union
13 Aug
New York City
1 : 2 Necaxa
Page 1 of 3
Santos Laguna
(Away) 27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0 Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1 Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Santos Laguna
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2 Santos Laguna
13 Aug
Philadelphia Union
0 : 2 Santos Laguna
10 Aug
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
