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New York Cosmos vs Athletic Club Boise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Marsh C.
46'
Sub
Noecker W. In: Chilaka M.
Out: Noecker W.
52'
Chavez J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between New York Cosmos and Athletic Club Boise finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club Boise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
New York Cosmos
20%
Draws
58%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletic Club Boise come out ahead of New York Cosmos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Athletic Club Boise a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 12%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs New York Cosmos
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Athletic Club Boise
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Crull J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 22 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Athletic Club Boise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Boise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Cosmos's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Athletic Club Boise conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

New York Cosmos has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Athletic Club Boise
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club Boise

(Away)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)