Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Spengler A.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Ortiz V.
20'
Manin R.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between New York Cosmos and Charlotte Independence finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Cosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New York Cosmos
44%
Draws
20%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlotte Independence come out ahead of New York Cosmos on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 34 / 100
Charlotte Independence 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Charlotte Independence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: New York Cosmos scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

New York Cosmos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Charlotte Independence
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
18 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
08 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 3
Greenville Triumph
28 Jun
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte Independence

(Away)
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
24 Jun
Charlotte Independence
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville16103330:1633
2Union Omaha17102527:2032
3Charlotte Independence1593336:2230
4AV Alta FC1877426:2128
5Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
6Fort Wayne1676324:1427
7Forward Madison1482426:1426
8Spokane Velocity1682619:2126
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1481527:1725
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Corpus Christi FC1747620:2619
12Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1643925:2515
15Greenville Triumph1442814:2414
16Richmond Kickers16331012:3012
17New York Cosmos15321017:3311
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)