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New York Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New York Cosmos host Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: New York Cosmos at 1.14 goals for, 2.1 against; Chattanooga Red Wolves at 1.6 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, New York Cosmos have won 0 to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.56, favoring Chattanooga Red Wolves. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New York Cosmos
15%
Draws
49%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves have won more games recently than New York Cosmos.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 15%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 35 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

New York Cosmos's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chattanooga Red Wolves conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Chattanooga Red Wolves registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)