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New York Cosmos vs Rayo OKC Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

NASL 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Samaras G.
30'
Sub
Velasquez S. In: Menjivar R.
Out: Velasquez S.
39' Event
Moffat A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NASL 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
New York Cosmos
15%
Draws
57%
Rayo OKC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo OKC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo OKC have won more games recently than New York Cosmos.
  • Rayo OKC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 16%
Rayo OKC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Rayo OKC
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2016 NASL
New York Cosmos vs Rayo OKC
2:1
Aug 7, 2016 NASL
New York Cosmos vs Rayo OKC
1:1
Jul 17, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs New York Cosmos
3:0
May 28, 2016 NASL
New York Cosmos vs Rayo OKC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Rayo OKC Compare

Top Goalscorer Samaras G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 23 / 100
Rayo OKC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Rayo OKC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo OKC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Cosmos scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Rayo OKC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: New York Cosmos stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Sarasota Paradise
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Rayo OKC

(Away)
05 Nov
New York Cosmos
2 : 1
Rayo OKC
30 Oct
Rayo OKC
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
22 Oct
Fort Lauderdale Strikers
0 : 2
Rayo OKC
16 Oct
Rayo OKC
3 : 1
Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 1
Rayo OKC
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