Sport Picks
New York Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ 
Match Events
14'
14'
Walker A.
33'
33'
Bolanos J.
39'
39'
Chavez J.
AI Match Summary
Sarasota Paradise in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarasota Paradise.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarasota Paradise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sarasota Paradise lately — more wins on the board than New York Cosmos.
- Model gives Sarasota Paradise a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Cosmos | Sarasota Paradise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise
1:2
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs New York Cosmos
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Jawneh L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sarasota Paradise Compare
Top Goalscorer Krueger B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York Cosmos 10 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York Cosmos Sarasota Paradise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New York Cosmos found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Sarasota Paradise let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
New York Cosmos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New York Cosmos VS Sarasota Paradise
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
New York Cosmos
(Home) 10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0 New York Cosmos
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Westchester SC
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
15 Aug
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
25 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 3
Sarasota Paradise
(Away) 10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
