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New York Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New York Cosmos host Spokane Velocity in the USL League One. Spokane Velocity are expected to control this from the start. Spokane Velocity have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while New York Cosmos have conceded 2.1 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, New York Cosmos have won 0 to Spokane Velocity's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.88) back Spokane Velocity to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
New York Cosmos
20%
Draws
63%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Spokane Velocity's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs New York Cosmos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 10 / 100
Spokane Velocity 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

New York Cosmos found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Spokane Velocity let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

New York Cosmos has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Spokane Velocity
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
11 Oct
One Knoxville
0 : 2
Spokane Velocity
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 31 14 9 8 49:36 51
6 Spokane Velocity 28 15 5 8 43:36 50
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)