Sport Picks
New York Red Bulls II vs Carolina Core
USA
MLS Next Pro 2025 MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY 
Match Events
2'
2'
Chica D.
3'
3'
Mosquera R.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Thomas K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with New York Red Bulls II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New York Red Bulls II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and New York Red Bulls II come out ahead of Carolina Core on wins alone.
- Win probability leans New York Red Bulls II's way, sitting at 36%.
- New York Red Bulls II have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor New York Red Bulls II, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and New York Red Bulls II have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 14%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Red Bulls II | Carolina Core |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Carolina Core
5:1
Jun 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Carolina Core
3:2
Sep 1, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New York Red Bulls II
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York Red Bulls II Compare
Top Goalscorer Benedetti N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mitchell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Carolina Core Compare
Top Goalscorer Nzingo G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York Red Bulls II 35 / 100
Carolina Core 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York Red Bulls II Carolina Core
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New York Red Bulls II found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Carolina Core let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Carolina Core lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New York Red Bulls II VS Carolina Core
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
New York Red Bulls II
(Home) 24 Jul
New York Red Bulls II
0 : 3 Crown Legacy
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2 New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
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24 Jul
New York Red Bulls II
0 : 3 Crown Legacy
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
24 May
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 3 CT United FC
17 May
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 3 New York City II
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Carolina Core
(Away) 25 Jul
Carolina Core
1 : 5 Chicago Fire II
22 Jul
Carolina Core
4 : 0 Inter Miami II
12 Jul
Carolina Core
1 : 2 Chattanooga
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
28 Jun
Carolina Core
1 : 0 Huntsville City
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05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
20 Jun
Inter Miami II
0 : 1 Carolina Core
17 Jun
New York City II
3 : 2 Carolina Core
07 Jun
Orlando City B
3 : 2 Carolina Core
24 May
Chattanooga
1 : 0 Carolina Core
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Carolina Core1
New England Revolution II0
Chicago Fire II1
Philadelphia Union II2
FC Cincinnati 21
Chattanooga0
Huntsville City2
San Jose Earthquakes II3
North Texas0
Colorado Rapids 23
Vancouver Whitecaps 22
St. Louis City 23
Ventura County0
Real Monarchs1
Minnesota United 22
Quarter-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Chicago Fire II3
Philadelphia Union II1
Huntsville City0
San Jose Earthquakes II2
Colorado Rapids 24
St. Louis City 20
Minnesota United 22
Semi-finals
New York Red Bulls II2
Philadelphia Union II1
Colorado Rapids 22
Minnesota United 21
Final
New York Red Bulls II4
Colorado Rapids 23
