Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Red Bulls II vs CT United FC

USA USA

MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Tanyi B.
Assist: Caua Paixao
32'
Worth N.
43' Event
Tanyi B.
Assist: Mora-Arias R.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between New York Red Bulls II and CT United FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CT United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
New York Red Bulls II
20%
Draws
38%
CT United FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New York Red Bulls II come out ahead of CT United FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans New York Red Bulls II's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls II CT United FC
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 18 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
May 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs CT United FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjengaar D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

CT United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanyi B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 40 / 100
CT United FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls II CT United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CT United FC let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: New York Red Bulls II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS CT United FC
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls II

(Home)
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0
New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

CT United FC

(Away)
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1
Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4
New York City II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3New England Revolution II18120626:2035
4Orlando City B19120740:3335
5Chattanooga19120735:3034
6New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8CT United FC18100833:3228
9New York City II1790827:2628
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)