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New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
2 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Munson J.
25'
Samson F.
35'
Sub
Benedetti N. In: Gallagher C.
Out: Benedetti N.

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
New York Red Bulls II
15%
Draws
21%
FC Cincinnati 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls II have won more games recently than FC Cincinnati 2.
  • Model gives New York Red Bulls II a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls II FC Cincinnati 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 2.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:1
Oct 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mize J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 83 / 100
FC Cincinnati 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls II FC Cincinnati 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Red Bulls II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

FC Cincinnati 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: New York Red Bulls II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS FC Cincinnati 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls II

(Home)
20 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 2
Huntsville City
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 1
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati 2

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)