Sport Picks
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
USA
MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY 
Match Events
2'
2'
Orejarena L.
16'
16'
Gjengaar D.
Assist: Jimenez M.
19'
19'
Niang C.
Assist: Chirila S.
AI Match Summary
New York Red Bulls II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New York Red Bulls II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls II lately — more wins on the board than FC Cincinnati 2.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on New York Red Bulls II taking it.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FC Cincinnati 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 17%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Red Bulls II | FC Cincinnati 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:1
Oct 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:4
Apr 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York Red Bulls II Compare
Top Goalscorer Gjengaar D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rojas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
FC Cincinnati 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Niang C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York Red Bulls II 84 / 100
FC Cincinnati 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York Red Bulls II FC Cincinnati 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: New York Red Bulls II scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
FC Cincinnati 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
FC Cincinnati 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New York Red Bulls II VS FC Cincinnati 2
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
New York Red Bulls II
(Home) 19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2 New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
24 May
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 3 CT United FC
17 May
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 3 New York City II
26 Apr
New York Red Bulls II
4 : 1 Columbus Crew 2
Page 1 of 4
FC Cincinnati 2
(Away) 17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2 Orlando City B
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2 New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 0 Inter Miami II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati 2
23 May
New York City II
2 : 0 FC Cincinnati 2
14 May
Huntsville City
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati 2
19 Apr
New York Red Bulls II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)