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New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY
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Match Events

13'
Buck J.
18'
Worth N.
19' Event
Jean Baptiste M.
Assist: Oliveira C.

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored New England Revolution II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New York Red Bulls II
15%
Draws
34%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: New York Red Bulls II at 2.2 per game, New England Revolution II at 1.93.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on New York Red Bulls II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls II New England Revolution II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.2 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II
1:4
Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs New York Red Bulls II
4:2
May 18, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bori J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jean Baptiste M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 74 / 100
New England Revolution II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls II New England Revolution II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Red Bulls II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

New England Revolution II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

New York Red Bulls II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS New England Revolution II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls II

(Home)
20 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 2
Huntsville City
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 1
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution II

(Away)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
30 Aug
New England Revolution II
1 : 4
Huntsville City
22 Aug
New York City II
2 : 1
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)