Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park

New York Red Bulls II

2 - 3

New York City II

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Smith K.

34'

Danquah C.

46'

Sub

Danquah C. In: Samb E.

Out: Danquah C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York City II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

New York Red Bulls II

30%

Draws

34%

New York City II

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls II lately — more wins on the board than New York City II.
Win probability leans New York Red Bulls II's way, sitting at 36%.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%

New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

New York City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New York Red Bulls II	New York City II
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	19	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	2	2
Goals Conceded	2	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

New York Red Bulls II vs New York City II

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro

New York City II vs New York Red Bulls II

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Jul 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York Red Bulls II vs New York City II

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

4:2

May 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York City II vs New York Red Bulls II

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

5:2

Mar 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York Red Bulls II vs New York City II

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sokoloff P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Loiola J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Flax C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 34 / 100

New York City II 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New York Red Bulls II New York City II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: New York City II conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

New York Red Bulls II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS New York City II

2 Goals Scored 2

2 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	19	14	5	35:29	39
2	New York Red Bulls II	19	10	9	40:29	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	CT United FC	18	10	8	33:32	28
6	Philadelphia Union II	19	9	10	21:23	26
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	19	12	7	40:33	35
3	Chattanooga	19	12	7	35:30	34
4	Atlanta United 2	18	9	9	38:28	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	18	8	10	31:35	25
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	19	12	7	25:23	37
2	Ventura County	19	11	8	34:27	32
3	Los Angeles FC 2	18	9	9	28:30	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	17	9	8	37:20	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	17	14	3	39:15	40
2	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	19	10	9	30:32	29
5	North Texas	17	8	9	27:21	25
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	19	3	16	17:37	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	19	14	5	35:29	39
2	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
3	Orlando City B	19	12	7	40:33	35
4	Chattanooga	19	12	7	35:30	34
5	New York Red Bulls II	19	10	9	40:29	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	18	9	9	38:28	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	CT United FC	18	10	8	33:32	28
10	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
11	Philadelphia Union II	19	9	10	21:23	26
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	18	8	10	31:35	25
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	17	14	3	39:15	40
2	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
3	Portland Timbers 2	19	12	7	25:23	37
4	Ventura County	19	11	8	34:27	32
5	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
6	St. Louis City 2	19	10	9	30:32	29
7	Los Angeles FC 2	18	9	9	28:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	17	9	8	37:20	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	North Texas	17	8	9	27:21	25
11	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	19	3	16	17:37	12