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New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
New York Red Bulls Logo

New York Red Bulls

0 - 2
FT
Charlotte FC Logo

Charlotte FC

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Biel P.
Assist: Abada L.
12' Event
Westwood A.
Assist: Calderon Vargas K. A.
47'
Abada L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Charlotte FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New York Red Bulls
15%
Draws
45%
Charlotte FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 68%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls Charlotte FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls
6:1
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:0
May 28, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC
4:2
Aug 24, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Biel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westwood A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 41 / 100
Charlotte FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls Charlotte FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Red Bulls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

New York Red Bulls found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Charlotte FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: New York Red Bulls stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls VS Charlotte FC
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)