Sport Picks

USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium

Columbus Crew

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls play Columbus Crew in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, New York Red Bulls averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Columbus Crew averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, New York Red Bulls won 3, Columbus Crew won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for New York Red Bulls and 2.19 for Columbus Crew. This points to a Columbus Crew double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

New York Red Bulls

20%

Draws

40%

Columbus Crew

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

New York Red Bulls picked up more points recently compared to Columbus Crew.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%

Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New York Red Bulls	Columbus Crew
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	5	7
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.6	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 MLS

New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Oct 18, 2025 MLS

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Aug 30, 2025 MLS

New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Nov 3, 2024 MLS

New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Oct 29, 2024 MLS

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall J.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfsten M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 38 / 100

Columbus Crew 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New York Red Bulls Columbus Crew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Columbus Crew or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New York Red Bulls attacking → ← attacking Columbus Crew

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Columbus Crew let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

New York Red Bulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Columbus Crew lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 40

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	10	2	2	34:12	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	10	2	3	34:15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	8	2	4	26:19	26
4	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30:22	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	7	3	5	24:17	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	7	3	3	17:11	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	7	1	6	19:23	22
8	Minnesota United	15	6	4	5	18:22	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	5	5	5	22:22	20
10	San Diego FC	15	4	5	6	30:27	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	5	1	9	25:24	16
12	St. Louis City	14	4	4	6	16:20	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22:28	14
14	Austin FC	15	3	5	7	19:31	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14:36	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	10	3	1	31:11	33
2	Inter Miami	15	9	4	2	39:28	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27:16	26
4	New England Revolution	14	8	1	5	22:18	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	6	4	5	25:32	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	6	3	6	24:23	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	5	5	5	36:37	20
8	New York City	15	5	4	6	25:21	19
9	DC United	15	4	6	5	21:25	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21:23	16
11	CF Montreal	14	4	2	8	22:31	14
12	Orlando City	15	4	2	9	23:44	14
13	Toronto FC	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
14	Atlanta United	14	3	2	9	14:23	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	1	4	10	18:30	7