Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas

USA USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Collodi M.
54' Event
Musa P.
Assist: Binyamin R.
66'
Sub
Mina J. In: Marshall-Rutty J.
Out: Mina J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between New York Red Bulls and FC Dallas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dallas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New York Red Bulls
30%
Draws
34%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New York Red Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Dallas come out ahead of New York Red Bulls on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on New York Red Bulls taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls FC Dallas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
0:3
May 21, 2025 US Open Cup
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
3:2
Mar 10, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
2:1
Apr 16, 2022 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarver S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 34 / 100
FC Dallas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC Dallas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

New York Red Bulls has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls VS FC Dallas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1
New York Red Bulls
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
New York Red Bulls
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
09 May
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

FC Dallas

(Away)
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
FC Dallas
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2
FC Dallas
17 May
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 3
FC Dallas
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
10 May
FC Dallas
3 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
6New York City1664627:2222
7Charlotte FC1664626:2522
8New York Red Bulls1664626:3522
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)