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New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
New York Red Bulls Logo

New York Red Bulls

0 - 1
FT
Nashville SC Logo

Nashville SC

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Lovitz D.
58'
Corcoran M.
61'
Sub
Cowell C. In: Jimenez M.
Out: Cowell C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New York Red Bulls
15%
Draws
45%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nashville SC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 11%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls Nashville SC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC
0:1
May 15, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Woledzi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 22 / 100
Nashville SC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New York Red Bulls scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Nashville SC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

New York Red Bulls has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls VS Nashville SC
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4
Nashville SC
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)