Sport Picks

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New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New York Red Bulls
30%
Draws
34%
St. Louis City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New York Red Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls haven't matched St. Louis City's recent run of results.
  • New York Red Bulls are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 14%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls St. Louis City
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
3:1
Jan 29, 2025 Club Friendly
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs New York Red Bulls
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 35 / 100
St. Louis City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls St. Louis City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Louis City conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

New York Red Bulls has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls VS St. Louis City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
New York Red Bulls
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
09 May
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
New York Red Bulls
02 May
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
FC Dallas
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St. Louis City

(Away)
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0
Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Houston Dynamo
16 May
DC United
1 : 1
St. Louis City
14 May
St. Louis City
2 : 1
Los Angeles FC
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