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New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Mata M. A.
Own Goal
55' Event
Mata M. A.
76' Event
Ebbinge W.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U19
6%
Draws
4%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Zealand U19 lately — more wins on the board than New Caledonia U19.
  • New Zealand U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • New Zealand U19 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 17%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 16 20
Wins 16 12
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 7
Goals Scored 4.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4
Jul 5, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
3:0
Aug 16, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ebbinge W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.31

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 84 / 100
New Caledonia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 New Caledonia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U19's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

New Caledonia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

New Zealand U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U19 VS New Caledonia U19
4.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U192
New Caledonia U191
Solomon Islands U191
Tahiti U193
Final
New Zealand U191
Tahiti U190
New Caledonia U194
Solomon Islands U191