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New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Zwetsloot T.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U19
6%
Draws
4%
Tahiti U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 have won more games recently than Tahiti U19.
  • New Zealand U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Zealand U19 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19
Matches Played 16 15
Wins 16 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 6
Goals Scored 5.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
1:0
Aug 6, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwetsloot T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56

Tahiti U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 84 / 100
Tahiti U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U19 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (16 games).

New Zealand U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tahiti U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U19 VS Tahiti U19
5.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U192
New Caledonia U191
Solomon Islands U191
Tahiti U193
Final
New Zealand U191
Tahiti U190
New Caledonia U194
Solomon Islands U191