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New Zealand U20 vs Vanuatu U20

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U20 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ashworth H.
34' Event
Dyer M.
70'
Massing F.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U20 in this OFC Championship U20 2016 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New Zealand U20
33%
Draws
27%
Vanuatu U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New Zealand U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Zealand U20 lately — more wins on the board than Vanuatu U20.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U20 taking it.
  • New Zealand U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
New Zealand U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Vanuatu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U20 Vanuatu U20
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2016 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U20 vs Vanuatu U20
5:0
Mar 23, 2013 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U20 vs New Zealand U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Imrie L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ashworth H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vanuatu U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 39 / 100
Vanuatu U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U20 Vanuatu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U20 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Vanuatu U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vanuatu U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U20

(Home)
03 Oct
New Zealand U20
0 : 3
Japan U20
30 Sept
Egypt U20
1 : 2
New Zealand U20
27 Sept
Chile U20
2 : 1
New Zealand U20
07 Jun
Chile U20
2 : 1
New Zealand U20
04 Jun
Chile U20
3 : 1
New Zealand U20
Page 1 of 7

Vanuatu U20

(Away)
26 May
Germany U20
3 : 2
Vanuatu U20
23 May
Venezuela U20
7 : 0
Vanuatu U20
20 May
Vanuatu U20
2 : 3
Mexico U20
17 Sept
New Zealand U20
5 : 0
Vanuatu U20
13 Sept
Vanuatu U20
2 : 1
Solomon Islands U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U203
New Caledonia U201
Vanuatu U202
Solomon Islands U201
Final
New Zealand U205
Vanuatu U200