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New Zealand U20 W vs Ghana U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Dawah J. In: Issah A.
Out: Dawah J.
46'
Sub
Nyarkoh B. In: Kumah V.
Out: Nyarkoh B.
59' Event
Abdulai S.
Assist: Kumah V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Ghana U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
New Zealand U20 W
39%
Draws
30%
Ghana U20 W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U20 W come out ahead of Ghana U20 W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • New Zealand U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ghana U20 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
New Zealand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Ghana U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U20 W Ghana U20 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.86 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 World Cup Women U20
New Zealand U20 W vs Ghana U20 W
1:3
Aug 12, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Ghana U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W
1:0
Nov 14, 2016 World Cup Women U20
Ghana U20 W vs New Zealand U20 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Ghana U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulai S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Twum T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 W 30 / 100
Ghana U20 W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U20 W Ghana U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghana U20 W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U20 W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ghana U20 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 W VS Ghana U20 W
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
2.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U20 W

(Home)
08 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 3
Ghana U20 W
06 Sept
Austria U20 W
3 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
03 Sept
Japan U20 W
7 : 0
New Zealand U20 W
14 Jul
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 1
Australia U20 W
11 Jul
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 1
Australia U20 W
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Ghana U20 W

(Away)
11 Nov
Nigeria U20 W
3 : 0
Ghana U20 W
08 Nov
Ghana U20 W
1 : 3
Nigeria U20 W
08 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 3
Ghana U20 W
05 Sept
Japan U20 W
4 : 1
Ghana U20 W
02 Sept
Ghana U20 W
1 : 2
Austria U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia U20 W33004:09
2Mexico U20 W31114:34
3Cameroon U20 W31114:34
4Australia U20 W30030:60
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil U20 W330014:09
2France U20 W311114:64
3Canada U20 W311112:54
4Fiji U20 W30030:290
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U20 W33005:09
2USA U20 W32019:16
3Paraguay U20 W31022:93
4Morocco U20 W30030:60
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U20 W32018:46
2Nigeria U20 W32016:36
3South Korea U20 W31111:14
4Venezuela U20 W30122:91
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U20 W330013:19
2Austria U20 W32015:46
3Ghana U20 W31025:73
4New Zealand U20 W30032:130
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U20 W330017:29
2Netherlands U20 W31115:54
3Argentina U20 W31116:94
4Costa Rica U20 W30030:120
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)