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New Zealand U20 W vs USA U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U20 ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Buck A.
Assist: Munson H.
6' Event
Fuller K.
38' Event
Johnson M.
Assist: Adames E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-9. The second leg ended 0-9.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
New Zealand U20 W
15%
Draws
85%
USA U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U20 W come out ahead of New Zealand U20 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives USA U20 W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • USA U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
New Zealand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U20 W USA U20 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 3.53 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 3.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 World Cup Women U20
New Zealand U20 W vs USA U20 W
0:9
Nov 17, 2016 World Cup Women U20
New Zealand U20 W vs USA U20 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.24

USA U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Buck A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fuller K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.37
Avg xA / game 2.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 W 10 / 100
USA U20 W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U20 W USA U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

New Zealand U20 W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

USA U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: USA U20 W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 W VS USA U20 W
0.33 Goals Scored 2.75
4.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U20 W

(Home)
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Italy U20 W
3 : 0
New Zealand U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
08 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
1 : 3
Ghana U20 W
06 Sept
Austria U20 W
3 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
Page 1 of 6

USA U20 W

(Away)
16 Sept
Brazil U20 W
2 : 1
USA U20 W
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
USA U20 W
1 : 2
Italy U20 W
13 Jul
USA U20 W
0 : 1
Colombia U20 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)