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New Zealand U23 vs China U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sutton S.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Bidois R.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U23 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U23
6%
Draws
4%
China U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • China U23 haven't matched New Zealand U23's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 68%
China U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U23 China U23
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 3 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
New Zealand U23 vs China U23
2:1
Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
New Zealand U23 vs China U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bidois R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

China U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U23 95 / 100
China U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U23 China U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U23 scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

New Zealand U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

China U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U23 VS China U23
1 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%