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New Zealand U23 vs Vanuatu U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2015
Fri, Jul 10, 2015
0 - 3
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U23 host Vanuatu U23 in the Pacific Games 2015. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Vanuatu U23 have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while New Zealand U23 have conceded 0.5 and scored 4.5. Head-to-head, New Zealand U23 have won 1 to Vanuatu U23's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2023, ending 8:0. xG projections (2.63 - 1.50) back New Zealand U23 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U23
6%
Draws
4%
Vanuatu U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U23 come out ahead of Vanuatu U23 on wins alone.
  • New Zealand U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pacific Games 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Vanuatu U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U23 Vanuatu U23
Matches Played 26 14
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 4.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 OFC Championship U23
New Zealand U23 vs Vanuatu U23
8:0
Jul 10, 2015 Pacific Games
New Zealand U23 vs Vanuatu U23
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U23 84 / 100
Vanuatu U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U23 Vanuatu U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U23 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

New Zealand U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vanuatu U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 14 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U23 VS Vanuatu U23
4.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Fiji U233
Papua New Guinea U231
New Zealand U230
Vanuatu U233
Final
Fiji U231
Vanuatu U230